Alex Smart |
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Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing long term $75000.00 plus dime player run! |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | May 01, 2024 Pirates vs A's |
A's +103 at Ace |
Won $103 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Okalnd has won 3 straight and 5 of their L/6 an dhave momentum entering this game against a Pittsburgh team that has lost 3 straight and 6 of their L/7 and scored a total of 5 runs in their L/5 games OAKLAND is 19-14 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 3 seasons. Note: Stripling the As starter today has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs the Pirates. PITTSBURGH is 13-36 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons MLB team (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games are 35-13 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the As to win |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | May 01, 2024 Yankees vs Orioles |
Orioles -150 at circa |
Lost $150.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Im betting on Baltimore's Corbin Burnes continuing his dominate 2024 season when the Orioles host the New York Yankees on Wednesday evening. Burnes (3-0, 2.55 ERA) has given up three runs or less in each of his first six starts for the Orioles. He has struck out 35 and walked eight in 35 1/3 innings. Rinse and repeat now on board. BALTIMORE is 22-9 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 season. BALTIMORE is 19-9 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 36-17 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), with a slugging percentage of .440 or better over their last 20 games are 37-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play on the Baltimore |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | May 01, 2024 Heat vs Celtics |
OVER 198 -110 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Heat Im betting will be far more aggressive than they have been in their L/2 games vs the Celtics . Their defensive minded game plan utterly failed vs the Celtics and now they have to open up or be blown off the court. This Im betting leads to combined score that eclipses this total. BOSTON L/35 as a favorite of 10 or more points this season has seen a combined average of 230.4 ppg scored. BOSTON 16 games after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half this season have seen a combined average of 231 ppg scored. MIAMI in 20 games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season have seen a combined average of 215.9 ppg scored. MIAMI in 29 road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 217.5 ppg scored. MIAMIs L/33 road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 217.3 ppg scored. NBA team (MIAMI) - after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 66-27 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 224.4 ppg. Play on the OVER |
SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |